A policy-based weighted averaging model to predict green vehicle market shares

This paper investigates the effect of single and combined pricing measures on the potential shift from intended purchase of conventionally fuelled vehicles to environmentally friendly ones. First, a factorial judgment task was designed to elicit the combinatory rule that governs the integration of different pricing policies into judgments of probability of switching to an environmentally friendly vehicle. Our results show that individuals convey these judgments mainly according to an equal [...]

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